Chief Executive Officer of SAIRR
South Africa in 2030: The Latest Scenarios
The IRR’s briefing services allow clients to accurately anticipate short, medium, and long-term social, economic, and political shifts for South Africa. The briefing provides a deep dive analysis of current growth, investment, debt, deficit, employment, education, crime, political and policy trends in order to develop four new scenarios for South Africa’s next decade. The briefing refines its analysis all the way to the point of saying which scenario is going to unfold and how major social, economic, and political trends will evolve under that scenario. Clients are left with a high degree of clarity of what to expect from South Africa and therefore how to position themselves to counter risks and exploit opportunities. By matching first-hand policy and political information with world-class socio-economic analysis the IRR’s briefings provide an unmatched level of strategic intelligence.
Frans Cronje is CEO of the IRR. He was educated at St Johns College in Houghton and the University of the Witwatersrand and holds a PhD in scenario planning from North-West University. He served with the South African police, worked as a horse-riding instructor and later logger in the United States, and completed a year-long expedition that crossed the African continent from Cape Town to Cairo. He joined the IRR in 2004 and established its Centre For Risk Analysis which specialises in using scenarios to help business and government leaders make decisions about investment and policy in South Africa. He has presented scenarios to over 100 South African corporations and foreign investors. He is the author of A Time Traveller’s Guide To Our Next Ten Years (Tafelberg 2014) and A Time Traveller’s Guide To South Africa 2030 (Tafelberg April 2017). Over the past two years, his scenarios have been presented to an estimated 20 000 people across three continents and have been influential in shaping investor perception towards South Africa. His work has been widely cited in the media from the Volksblad to the Wall Street Journal. He writes a column for Rapport newspaper.
The IRR is the leading free-market think tank in South Africa. It was established in 1929 and stands for economic and political liberalism. The IRR uses research and public commentary to influence policy in South Africa that promotes investment-led economic growth. The IRR is home to a research team that tracks trends for all major policy areas in South Africa and publishes extensively on these. It is the largest independent supplier of information and research support services to politicians, journalists, and civil society groups in South Africa. Corporate and government users purchase its reports and services via its Centre for Risk Analysis. It is funded largely via subscriber contributions and grants from the business community.